News & Impact on India

Global Financial Trends – Weak Demand for U.S. Debt Foreign holdings of U.S. Treasuries fell to $2.78 trillion, the lowest since 2012, as central banks shift to gold. Impact: Higher U.S. yields may raise global borrowing costs and trigger FPI outflows from India. RBI may act to curb rupee swings. Stocks: HDFC Bank, SBI U.S. Policy – Fiscal Strain & Tariff Inflation The U.S. plans to end its shutdown while funding $2,000 payouts from record tariff revenues ($195 bn, 18% rate). Impact: Inflation risk may delay Fed rate cuts, keeping global liquidity tight. Indian exporters could face weaker U.S. demand. Stocks: Infosys, TCS Labor Market – Fall in U.S. Visa Sponsorship Sponsorship for foreign graduates dropped from 10.9% (2023) to 1.9% (2025), mainly in tech. Impact: More skilled workers may stay in India, boosting IT and startups, though remittance growth could slow. Stocks:

, China – Trade Softness, Policy Relief China lifted export bans on gallium and germanium till 2026 but exports fell 1.1% YoY in October. Impact: Easing tensions may stabilize chip supplies, aiding Indian auto and electronics firms, though China’s slowdown may hurt metals and chemical exports. Stocks: Tata Motors, Japan – $92 B Tech Stimulus Japan unveiled a ¥13.8 trillion ($92 bn) package for AI and semiconductors. Impact: Opens doors for India–Japan collaboration in chip design and manufacturing. Stocks: Tata Elxsi, ASM Technologies India – Fiscal Boost & RBI Support The Centre added ₹7,000 crore to FCI, taking food subsidy to ₹2.1 lakh crore. The RBI may conduct OMOs to manage liquidity. Impact: Fiscal support sustains growth; RBI steps may stabilize yields. Stocks: REC, PFC