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Pradeep Carpenter

18th May 2025 · SEBI-Registered Analyst

Nifty is above 25000, what next?

Nifty's rise above 25,000 indicates strong momentum, particularly driven by the defence sector, which has shown significant gains. However, smallcaps are also signaling a risk-on mood, suggesting potential for further movement in various sectors, including realty and others. The defence sector has been a key driver, experiencing substantial gains due to easing geopolitical tensions and government focus on domestic manufacturing. The defence sector has seen impressive performance, logging a gain of approximately 10.78%. While there may be short-term fatigue, the overall sentiment remains positive, supported by strong institutional buying. Investors who previously booked profits may be looking to re-enter, indicating potential for further upside. Nifty's technical indicators show a strong upward momentum, with the index trading above key moving averages. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) remains in a bullish zone, suggesting continued strength. A breakout above 25,150 could lead to a rally towards 25,500, while support is identified at 24,500. Next Sectors to Watch Realty Sector: Continuing its upward trajectory, driven by strong residential sales and positive sentiment. Metals Sector: Gaining momentum due to global commodity price trends and renewed demand optimism. Banking and Finance: Although facing some profit-taking, the sector remains bullish on strong cues. IT Sector: Currently undergoing consolidation, but may present opportunities for recovery in the near future. Key Factors Influencing Future Movements Geopolitical Developments: Ongoing India-Pakistan relations and US-China trade dynamics will play a crucial role. Economic Data Releases: Upcoming trade deficit data and global economic indicators will influence market sentiment. Earnings Season: The Q4 FY25 earnings reports will provide insights into sector performance and investor confidence.

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#IndexStrategies#WatchOutFor#FundamentalViews#SectorBreakouts#TrendingSectors
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