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Pradeep Carpenter

20th Aug 2025 ¡ SEBI-Registered Analyst

🚀 Ola Electric’s 18%+ Rally – What Drove It?

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shares jumped over 18% in two days and nearly 30% in five sessions, bouncing back after months of correction. The surge is backed by a mix of policy buzz, better results, China relief, and founder commentary. 🔑 Key Drivers 1. GST Reform Buzz Govt. considering GST slab changes boosted auto sentiment. Benefit may favor ICE vehicles more than EVs, but overall positive for sector mood. 2. Stronger Q1 FY26 Net loss narrowed to ₹428 cr (vs ₹870 cr in Q4 FY25). Revenue up to ₹828 cr (vs ₹611 cr). Auto EBITDA positive in June. Costs cut by 40%+ under Project Lakshya. Gen 3 scooters (80% of sales) improved margins. 3. China Factor FY24: ~37% of Ola’s costs from China (cells, magnets). Aug 19: China assured India on rare-earth supply, easing fears. Ola unveiled rare-earth-free motors (deployment Q3 FY26) → reduces reliance on China. 4. Founder Commentary – Bhavish Aggarwal “We want to build the best in India” → push for tech self-reliance. Vertical integration: in-house batteries, motors, software. Shift from growth-at-all-costs to profitability focus; auto biz seen profitable by Q3 FY26. Target: 25–30% EV 2W market share. 📊 Bottom Line Ola’s rally is driven by: ✅ Policy optimism (GST) ✅ Better Q1 performance & cost cuts ✅ China supply relief + rare-earth-free tech ✅ Founder’s clear roadmap for profitability + market-share recovery 👉 It’s not one trigger, but a confluence of catalysts restoring investor confidence. Disclaimer- As a SEBI registered Research Analyst with NISM certification, I want to emphasize that these credentials do not guarantee success in any trade. Investment in the share market is subject to market risk, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Recommendations are for informational purposes only and should not be considered as buy or sell advice.

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