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Pradeep Carpenter

18th Jul 2025 · SEBI-Registered Analyst

Reliance Industries Ltd (NSE:
RELIANCE
)

Reliance Industries Ltd (RIL) closed at ₹1,476 today, posting a marginal decline of –0.03%, and is down –1.27% for the week. As the company gears up to announce its quarterly results, here's a concise breakdown of what traders and investors need to know: 📊 Technical Insights Primary Trend: RIL is in a long-term uptrend, consistently forming higher highs and higher lows — a bullish setup on the broader timeframe. Bearish Cues in Play: Last week's bearish engulfing candlestick pattern has been confirmed by today's close, hinting at potential short-term downside. A double top pattern on the chart adds to the bearish sentiment, signaling caution. Key Levels to Watch: Resistance at ₹1,530: A breakout above this may invalidate bearish setups and open up fresh upside. Support at ₹1,395: Breaching this level could trigger a deeper correction toward ₹1,200, where the long-term trendline support lies — a level that may attract buyers if tested. 💡 Earnings Expectations — Market Consensus Consensus EPS estimate stands near $4.63, with revenue projections around $3.66 billion. Some analysts see room for a positive surprise, while others expect a stable performance inline with guidance. In rupee terms, EPS estimates hover around ₹16.08, slightly better than last quarter. Long-term projections suggest steady earnings growth, with annual EPS expected to grow around 8–9% YoY. Brokerage Sentiment: JP Morgan: Maintains ‘Overweight’ with a ₹1,568 target — expects earnings momentum to strengthen in the next two years. Goldman Sachs: Added RIL to APAC Conviction List, citing key growth drivers like O2C recovery, retail expansion, telecom tariff hikes, and EBITDA growth. Jefferies: Sees potential for consumer segment-led improvement. Keep a close watch on the price reaction post-results — this could set the tone for the coming weeks. ⚠️ Disclaimer: It is only educational content, kindly do not consider it as an advice.

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