State Bank of India (SBI) – Research Note (17 Sep 2025)
SBIN
surged ~3% today after announcing the sale of its 13.18% stake in Yes Bank to Japan’s SMBC for ₹8,889 cr. The move unlocks value, reduces exposure, and strengthens capital, giving a strong fundamental trigger.
Technicals are equally bullish:
Triple breakout: descending trendline, inverted H&S (neckline at ₹835), and falling wedge.
Price > 200-day SMA, confirming structural uptrend.
MACD crossed above 0, RSI in overbought zone (sign of trend strength, not reversal).
Key levels:
Support: ₹835–820
Target 1: ₹900
Target 2: ₹912 (lifetime high)
Extension: ₹950–970+ if ₹912 is broken with volume.
Fundamentals: Q1 PAT grew ~12% YoY to ₹19,160 cr, supported by non-interest income. Asset quality is stable, though margins remain under watch. The Yes Bank stake sale adds capital flexibility and boosts investor sentiment.
Risks: Profit booking near highs, NII pressure, rising slippages, and macro rate risks.
Outlook: A rare confluence of news + chart breakouts supports bullish momentum. Breach of ₹912 could open fresh all-time highs. Traders may ride momentum with disciplined stops.
Disclosure: No financial interest.
Disclaimer: SEBI Registered Research Analyst. This note is for information only, not investment advice.