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SAURABH SAHU

28th Nov · SEBI-Registered Analyst

**Nifty at Crossroads: Momentum Positive but Breakout Still Uncertain**

The Nifty 50 is currently hovering near its all-time high zones, but the index has not yet delivered a clean breakout. The daily chart shows a market that is **strong but not yet convincingly directional**, with price action stuck in a narrow band around 26,200–26,280. From a trend perspective, Nifty remains above the 50-day moving average (25,553), which keeps the medium-term structure positive. However, the candles over the last few sessions indicate hesitation, suggesting that buyers are active but not aggressive enough to push the index decisively higher. Momentum indicators also paint a mixed picture. * The **RSI at 62–63** shows strength but no overextension. * The **Stoch RSI has turned upward**, which indicates improving short-term momentum, but it is not yet in the kind of strong, sustained zone that confirms a breakout trend. This combination reflects a market that is **leaning bullish**, but still waiting for a trigger. The breakout zone remains **26,280–26,350**. Unless Nifty closes above this range with good volume, upward progress may stay slow and choppy. A move above this band could open the way towards 26,500. On the downside, immediate support lies at **25,950**, followed by a stronger support cluster near **25,700–25,550**, where the 50-DMA is positioned. Overall, the chart suggests **stability with mild upward bias**, but no strong directional move yet. The index is not showing weakness, but it is also not showing decisive breakout characteristics. Until a clear close above 26,280 emerges, Nifty is likely to continue its slow, range-bound movement near the highs. --- **Disclaimer:** This analysis is for informational purposes only and not investment advice.

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