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SHUBINVESTS I SEBI RA

1st Sep · SEBI-Registered Analyst

India’s EV Subsidy Story: Growth With Gaps

India’s EV journey has moved from policy support to a much bigger question: who can build the ecosystem profitably? The CAG’s audit of the FAME scheme found major gaps. FAME II had an original vehicle-incentive allocation of around ₹8,600 crore, but demand was very different from what policymakers expected. Two-wheelers consumed 127% of their allocation by March 2023, while three-wheelers used only 16% and four-wheelers 28%. Then came the bigger concern: compliance. Five manufacturers received around ₹468 crore despite localisation violations, while separately sold onboard chargers helped some electric two-wheelers remain below the ₹1.5 lakh eligibility threshold. The government paid ₹1,420 crore of incentives on those affected vehicles. Even FAME I's portal contained conflicting figures, making verification difficult. So what does this teach an investor? EV growth alone is not the whole story. Local manufacturing, components, electrification technology and execution will determine who captures the next phase. One Nifty 500 name that sits directly in this ecosystem is Uno Minda

UNOMINDA
— an automotive component company with exposure to the transition toward electric and electronically richer vehicles. The opportunity is interesting, but the investment case still depends on earnings growth, margins, valuation, execution and the pace of EV adoption. Learning Takeaway — 20 Words: EV subsidies can accelerate adoption, but long-term winners need localisation, technology, execution, financial strength and sustainable demand beyond subsidies.

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