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SHUBINVESTS I SEBI RA

22nd Sep · SEBI-Registered Analyst

🌎 The Missing Middle in India’s Energy Story

In most countries, the path from coal to clean energy uses natural gas as a bridge—cleaner, flexible, and able to quickly back up solar and wind when weather turns bad. But in India, gas makes up just 5% of electricity, with gas plants running at 10% capacity, nearly idle. Coal still powers 80–90%, and renewables are scaling fast. Why this “missing middle”? India lacks big domestic gas reserves, producing only half its needs; the rest is expensive to import. Government rules reserve low-priced gas for fertilizer and city gas (like cooking and CNG), so power plants rarely get enough. Even if India doubled gas production, most wouldn’t reach the power sector. Underutilized gas plants sit on the sidelines, while massive coal and new green projects grab headlines. Compared to the US or China, which use gas as a crucial bridge, India is jumping from one extreme (coal) to another (renewables), hoping for new technology, battery storage, and grid fixes to cover gaps. Who might benefit from this odd path? Coal: Coal India

COALINDIA
remains dominant and crucial for reliability. Renewables: Adani Green
ADANIGREEN
, Tata Power
TATAPOWER
, and Suzlon Energy are likely to gain as solar, wind, and storage leapfrog “middle” fuels. Grid, storage, and flexible infrastructure: NTPC
NTPC
(with diversified power), Power Grid Corporation
POWERGRID
, and battery/storage companies can bridge supply during renewables transition. India’s energy future is betting on a direct leap—a risky but potentially transformative story. For now, the “missing middle” could make this leap bumpy, sparking both challenges and big new opportunities. 📌 Learning Takeaway: India’s energy transition skips gas, jumping from coal to renewables because of resource limits, policy, and sectoral priorities.

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