‹ All Posts
SHUBINVESTS I SEBI RA

28th Aug · SEBI-Registered Analyst

When Bad Loans Stop Being the Villain....

For years, Indian banks carried a hidden weight: bad loans. Net NPAs peaked at around 6.0% in 2018. Today, they have fallen to roughly 0.4%, a two-decade low. But the story is bigger than a simple improvement in asset quality. Banks almost doubled their loan books, while aggressive provisioning pushed the provision coverage ratio from 48% to more than 76%. Fresh additions to bad loans also fell sharply. Then came the cleanup. Indian banks cleared nearly ₹27.8 lakh crore of old NPAs through recoveries, upgrades and write-offs. Think of it like cleaning an old house. The furniture is still there, but the rooms are no longer carrying the clutter of the past. With legacy corporate stress largely addressed, banks can focus more on new credit growth. That creates an important second chapter. If credit growth remains healthy while credit costs stay controlled, large diversified lenders could potentially benefit from the cleaner banking environment. Nifty 500 banking stocks to study: HDFC Bank

HDFCBANK
, ICICI Bank, State Bank of India, Axis Bank, Kotak Mahindra Bank, Bank of Baroda, IndusInd Bank and Federal Bank. These names should not be viewed as automatic beneficiaries or investment recommendations. Each has a different mix of retail, corporate, SME and other exposures, so the quality of future growth matters. And there is a warning. Low NPAs do not mean the credit cycle has disappeared. Early stress in retail and microfinance shows that tomorrow's problem loans can come from a very different corner. The lesson is simple: a cleaner balance sheet creates opportunity, but disciplined underwriting decides how long that opportunity lasts. Falling NPAs strengthen bank balance sheets, but investors must study credit costs, underwriting quality, loan growth, and emerging stress carefully.

#FundamentalViews#TechnicalViews#EquityResearch
931 likes·66 comments