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SHUBINVESTS I SEBI RA

4th Apr · SEBI-Registered Analyst

When Scarcity Breaks — What the Diamond Crash Teaches Investors

Markets built on perception can collapse quickly when technology changes supply, consumer preference shifts, and alternatives become cheaper and acceptable. For years, diamonds were not just stones they were a story. A belief. That story was shaped largely by De Beers, which controlled supply and convinced the world that diamonds = forever. Prices stayed high because scarcity was managed, not natural. But now, that illusion is breaking. Lab-grown diamonds entered quietly. Same look, same structure, but far cheaper. A product once rare became scalable. Prices fell sharply. At the same time, demand weakened. The US shifted toward lab-grown stones. China moved toward gold instead of diamonds. So what happens when both supply increases and demand falls? Prices collapse. That’s exactly what we are seeing today. This is not just a diamond story. It’s a market lesson. Whenever an industry depends on controlled supply + emotional branding, it becomes fragile when technology disrupts it. Where Opportunity Shifts (India – Nifty 500 Focus): As diamonds struggle, capital and demand are moving elsewhere: Titan Company Limited

TITAN
→ Strong in gold jewellery; benefits from shift toward gold consumption Rajesh Exports Limited
RAJESHEXPO
→ Global gold processor; gains from rising gold demand Kalyan Jewellers India Limited
KALYANKJIL
→ Expanding retail footprint in gold-focused jewellery Vaibhav Global Limited
VAIBHAVGBL
→ Affordable jewellery segment, benefits from value-conscious buyers

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