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The bigger benefit for banks may actually be indirect
This is where the story becomes more interesting for SBI, HDFC Bank, ICICI Bank, Axis Bank, Kotak Mahindra Bank, Bank of Baroda, etc.
A. More UPI transactions = more customer engagement
UPI keeps customers deeply connected to their bank accounts.
Every transaction gives the bank more:
customer activity
transaction history
merchant relationships
account engagement
opportunities to cross-sell products
NPCI data shows banks already handle enormous UPI volumes. For example, SBI, HDFC Bank, Bank of Baroda, Union Bank and PNB are among the major UPI remitter banks.
So MDR adds a monetisation layer to an ecosystem banks already participate in heavily.
4. UPI can become a gateway for lending
This could potentially be more valuable than the MDR itself.
A merchant accepting ₹10 lakh, ₹50 lakh or ₹1 crore of UPI payments generates a very useful digital transaction trail.
The bank can potentially understand:
Sales → cash flow → transaction frequency → seasonality → business activity
That can help banks offer:
working-capital loans
business loans
overdrafts
credit cards
merchant loans
equipment financing
insurance
investment products
SBI Chairman C.S. Setty recently highlighted the possibility of using UPI as a credit platform, including credit at the point of transaction and products such as Kisan Credit Cards, MUDRA loans and overdrafts.
Simple example
A small shop receives:
₹20 lakh/month through UPI
The bank can potentially see that the merchant has a recurring digital cash flow.
Instead of merely earning a small MDR share, the bank could ultimately earn interest income from:
₹10 lakh working-capital loan
That makes the UPI ecosystem strategically important for banks.#FundamentalViews
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