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Pradeep Carpenter

8th Sep · SEBI Registration INH000019309

IDBI Bank Crashes 12%: Stake Sale Price Drives Breakdown

IDBI
shares witnessed a sharp sell-off of around 12% today, falling to nearly ₹79.66 after opening near ₹91.30. The decline appears to be driven by a combination of stake-sale valuation concerns, profit booking and a major technical breakdown. The key trigger is the renewed focus on the strategic sale of IDBI Bank. Recent reports suggest that Fairfax Financial is moving ahead with preparations to fund a potential acquisition of IDBI Bank, including plans to restructure its other Indian financial investments. Earlier reports had indicated that Fairfax's revised bid for the government's and LIC's combined stake could imply a valuation around ₹77–₹81 per share. With the stock previously trading significantly above this reported range, today's sharp correction appears to reflect the market adjusting expectations toward the potential transaction price. However, the final stake-sale terms and price have not yet been officially confirmed. Technically, the chart has turned decisively weak. Today's large bearish candle has broken below the crucial ₹80–₹81 support zone and pushed the stock below its short- and medium-term moving averages. The price is now below the 50-day EMA near ₹85.44, 20-day EMA near ₹87.67 and 200-day SMA near ₹88.81, indicating strong deterioration in momentum. The MACD has turned negative, suggesting bearish momentum may continue. The immediate support zone is around ₹75, followed by ₹70–₹72. On the upside, ₹80–₹81 has now become the first resistance. A recovery above this zone is necessary to reduce immediate selling pressure, while ₹85–₹88 remains a stronger resistance area. Overall, the sharp fall is not merely a routine correction. The combination of stake-sale valuation uncertainty and a technical breakdown has changed the near-term structure to bearish. Traders should watch whether the stock stabilizes around ₹75–₹80 or continues to move toward lower supports.

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